Adam Howitt's Blog

Oct 21
2008

How the World would vote in the US elections

A good friend of mine built a great Flash app to capture the world's votes for the upcoming US Election.  It's a great idea for a site and executed really well.  If you have 30 seconds to spare, please head over to theworldfor.com, place you vote and then adjust the sliders for the issues you care about most.  Over 1,000 votes in the first day and counting...

Nov 03
2004

Disenchanted Non-eligible voter

Like the airlines say - "we recognize you have a choice when flying and thank you for flying Delta"...

That said I can still complain about the fact the my airline delayed the flight or I don't like their service or the website.

I'm probably the most disenchanted non-eligible voter in America this morning. It's not that Bush won. It is the fact that I disagree with the electoral process. I alluded to this fact earlier this morning when I presented an alternate method for assigning Electoral College votes.

Roughly speaking I'm proposing federally controlled elections and removing the electoral college system.

Electing the leader of the government in my mind is a federal issue and should be co-ordinated at a federal level with no state interference. If a state doesn't like the election procedure, secede! Dual federalism just seems unconstitutional when applied to the right to vote. Democracy should ensure that every vote counts.

Dual federalism has resulted in each state choosing it's own way to run elections instead of the government declaring that the elections should be performed in a specific way and the count should be returned by a specific time.

Not to mention the Electoral College system. Yesterday 55 EC votes were placed for Kerry despite the fact that he won only 54% of the vote. Surely the 55 EC votes should have split 29/26 instead. Yet last night, Colorado voters elected not to move to this system. Why? I would love to hear a well reasoned argument besides a 200 year old document outlining this supreme logic which arbitrarily rounds up from 54 out of 100 voters to give 100% backing to one candidate. We should be thankful the same math doesn't apply to our taxes or we'd all be rounding our annual contributions up to the nearest 10,000 dollars.

It wouldn't be right to finish without an honorable mention to Samuel J. Tilden who, despite beating Rutherford B. Hayes by a quarter of a million votes on the popular vote, was not elected as President in 1876. What is more interesting is that he lost on the electoral votes by a single vote 185 to 184. Why is this interesting? Rutherford B. Hayes received the Colorado electoral vote despite the fact that no-one voted there. At least Grover Cleveland was elected in the subsequent election after he won the popular vote by about 90,000 votes but lost on Electoral College votes by a margin of 233 to 168, hence electing Benjamin Harrison.

Finally we have the last election when Bush was elected over Gore despite losing the popular vote by 500,000 votes - the population of DC, Wyoming or Vermont. Hmm.

I'd like to see electoral reform and see the nation move to federally controlled elections where the popular vote is the only factor.

My last is how can a nation remain so divided yet continue to be ruled by someone so wrong for me and the rest of the upper midwest/ north east / north west? I thought the idea behind dual federalism was to ensure that non of the states with their local issues are imposed upon unfairly.

Kerry ahead on Electoral Votes

*If* you believe that the electoral college system is the way to go, at least keep it current. Based on the population for July 2003, there are large discrepancies between the number of Electoral Votes (EV) and the number each state would have by current population. California would get 65 votes! The table below shows how, by a modernization of Electoral Vote allocations would leave Kerry ahead of Bush 260 to 247 based on the state victories to this minute with Iowa, New Mexico and Ohio in the balance.

Methodology:
Population of state/Population of county = percent of allocated Electoral votes.
Percent EV * 538 (current total EV) = EV by Population.

So here goes:

          EV   EV by Pop  
State Pop 2003 % of Pop EV by Pop Actual EV Bush Kerry Bush Kerry
Alabama 4500752 1.55% 8.3264208 9 9 0 8.3264208 0
Alaska 648818 0.22% 1.200317567 3 3 0 1.200317567 0
Arizona 5580811 1.92% 10.32453705 10 10 0 10.32453705 0
Arkansas 2725714 0.94% 5.042588826 6 6 0 5.042588826 0
California 35484453 12.20% 65.64647142 55 0 55 0 65.64647142
Colorado 4550688 1.56% 8.418802728 9 9 0 8.418802728 0
Connecticut 3483372 1.20% 6.444261109 7 0 7 0 6.444261109
Delaware 817491 0.28% 1.512363726 3 0 3 0 1.512363726
DC 563384 0.19% 1.042264105 3 0 3 0 1.042264105
Florida 17019068 5.85% 31.48538773 27 27 0 31.48538773 0
Georgia 8684715 2.99% 16.06677987 15 15 0 16.06677987 0
Hawaii 1257608 0.43% 2.326583071 4 0 4 0 2.326583071
Idaho 1366332 0.47% 2.527723186 4 4 0 2.527723186 0
Illinois 12653544 4.35% 23.40913962 21 0 21 0 23.40913962
Indiana 6195643 2.13% 11.4619803 11 11 0 11.4619803 0
Iowa 2944062 1.01% 5.446534062 7 --- --- 0 0
Kansas 2723507 0.94% 5.038505862 6 6 0 5.038505862 0
Kentucky 4117827 1.42% 7.618007031 8 8 0 7.618007031 0
Louisiana 4496334 1.55% 8.318247471 9 9 0 8.318247471 0
Maine 1305728 0.45% 2.415605387 4 0 4 0 2.415605387
Maryland 5508909 1.89% 10.19151788 10 0 10 0 10.19151788
Massachusetts 6433422 2.21% 11.90187301 12 0 12 0 11.90187301
Michigan 10079985 3.47% 18.64803854 17 0 17 0 18.64803854
Minnesota 5059375 1.74% 9.359877024 10 0 10 0 9.359877024
Mississippi 2881281 0.99% 5.330388799 6 6 0 5.330388799 0
Missouri 5704484 1.96% 10.55333292 11 11 0 10.55333292 0
Montana 917621 0.32% 1.697604885 3 3 0 1.697604885 0
Nebraska 1739291 0.60% 3.217699789 5 5 0 3.217699789 0
Nevada 2241154 0.77% 4.146149639 5 5 0 4.146149639 0
New Hampshire 1287687 0.44% 2.382229419 4 0 4 0 2.382229419
New Jersey 8638396 2.97% 15.98108941 15 0 15 0 15.98108941
New Mexico 1874614 0.64% 3.468048229 5 --- --- 0 0
New York 19190115 6.60% 35.50183896 31 0 31 0 35.50183896
North Carolina 8407248 2.89% 15.55346409 15 15 0 15.55346409 0
North Dakota 633837 0.22% 1.172602619 3 3 0 1.172602619 0
Ohio 11435798 3.93% 21.15630151 20 --- --- 0 0
Oklahoma 3511532 1.21% 6.496357294 7 7 0 6.496357294 0
Oregon 3559596 1.22% 6.58527601 7 0 7 0 6.58527601
Pennsylvania 12365455 4.25% 22.87617307 21 0 21 0 22.87617307
Rhode Island 1076164 0.37% 1.990910478 4 0 4 0 1.990910478
South Carolina 4147152 1.43% 7.672258474 8 8 0 7.672258474 0
South Dakota 764309 0.26% 1.413976677 3 3 0 1.413976677 0
Tennessee 5841748 2.01% 10.80727222 11 11 0 10.80727222 0
Texas 22118509 7.61% 40.91938712 34 34 0 40.91938712 0
Utah 2351467 0.81% 4.350229415 5 5 0 4.350229415 0
Vermont 619107 0.21% 1.145352022 3 0 3 0 1.145352022
Virginia 7386330 2.54% 13.66475908 13 13 0 13.66475908 0
Washington 6131445 2.11% 11.34321357 11 0 11 0 11.34321357
West Virginia 1810354 0.62% 3.349166806 5 5 0 3.349166806 0
Wisconsin 5472299 1.88% 10.12378914 10 0 10 0 10.12378914
Wyoming 501242 0.17% 0.927300996 3 3 0 0.927300996 0
Total U.S. 290809777   538 538     247.1012492 260.827867

Vote for the World

It's no surprise to me that many Guardian readers in the UK signed up to write letters urging people in the US to vote. They didn't say vote Bush or Kerry, just vote and know what the rest of the world is hoping you think about.

Some people were indignant about these interfering Brits, some welcomed the attention. I think many Americans don't appreciate the impact that the US presidency has on every other country in the world. After 4 years living in the US under Bush, I have been pulling for Kerry but at 12.50am CST it looks improbable.

One thing it has brought to my attention is how out of touch I have become with British Politics since leaving in 2000. If you can excuse the fact that this is a part of the BBC for schools, here is a quick summary of the electoral process in the UK.

For more depth visit this, wait for it, ColdFusion website for the Houses of Parliament.

Oct 06
2003

Texas Chainsaw Massacre

They had their axes ready for the Braves Chop but it was a Texas Chainsaw Massacre as Kerry Wood (Texas) pitched 8 fine innings before being replaced by Tom Goodwin as pinch hitter.

I'll put some pictures up at MyPhotopia later today from last nights game in Atlanta. It was great to see history in the making and such good humoured rivalry from the fans. Typical cat-calls of "Corky" were yelled at Sammy Sosa while the Braves multimedia crowd management system cranked out the Chop over and over to drum up some enthusiasm. Overall, I still think the majority of fans at the game were fair weather Braves fans. Last night was the best crowd in regular or post-season history because many of the cubs fans came back down from Chicago to see the game. Other Cubs fans, like myself, live in Atlanta and were priveleged enough to see history being made as the Cubs further buried the legend of the Goat. I know that the only thing that stopped "Wrigley South" from having more Cubs fans in attendance was the prohibitive cost of a last minute ticket to fly down.

Well done Cubbies, lets take down the Marlins. The Cubs have a 4-2 record against them (2-1 Home, 2-1 Away) from two series in July so statistically we are stand a good chance. Heck, even against the Yankees the Cubs are 2-1 from the Interleague series...

Jul 29
2003

American History

I'm trying to learn a little about the country I live in so I don't appear as ignorant as some of the people I have encountered here. One guy once asked me in Chicago if they speak English in England, which is much worse than the first question whether we celebrate July 4th or Thanksgiving.

I'll start with the US Presidents song I used to remember the Presidents in order:

To the tune of "Ten Little Indians":

Washington, Adams, Jefferson, Madison, Monroe, Adams, Jackson, Van Buren, Harrison, Tyler, Polk and Taylor, Filmore, Pierce, Buchanan.

Lincoln, Johnson, Grant and Hayes, Garfield, Arthur, Cleveland, Harrison, Cleveland, McKinley, Roosevelt, Taft, Wilson, Harding, Coolidge.

Hoover, Roosevelt, Truman and Eisenhower, Kennedy, Johnson, Nixon, Ford, Carter, Reagan, Bush and Clinton, GW Bush is the President.

Aug 11
2002

Tube vs Subway

After a lot of BS Darrin and I decided to look on the web for comparisons between the London Underground and the New York Subway.

It turns out that the tube wins for:

  • oldest 1863 vs 1904
  • route miles 253 vs 233
  • deepest station 192ft vs 180ft while NY wins for:
  • stations 468 vs 275
  • % underground 67% vs 42%
  • passengers per year 1.3bn vs 1.0 bn